MPC · Full Picture
Marathon Petroleum Corp — the full picture
Earnings window · 2026-07-14 to 2026-08-09 · anchored on the 10-Q report
One earnings window, everything merged: the filing, the call, press releases and news digests, folded into ranked threads.
What to look at first
- Refining Margin Trends · Commodity & energy pricesPriority 81+36.0% margin (realized); 3 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); quote_verifiedBased on market indicators and crude throughput, Marathon estimates a net positive impact of approximately $4 billion on Refining & Marketing margin for Q2 2026 compared to Q2 2025 and approximately $5.5 billion for the first six months of 2026 compared to the first six months of 2025.
- Revenue Performance and Mix · Revenue growth & mixPriority 80+35.1% revenue (realized); 3 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); quote_verifiedTotal reportable segments segment adjusted EBITDA was $8,691 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026 and $3,512 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025.
- Operating Expense Trends · Operating expenses (SG&A)Priority 70-25.1% operating_income (realized); structured_verifiedCost of revenues (excludes items below) was $43,064 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026 and $30,025 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025.
- Capital Expenditures · Capital expenditurePriority 673 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); 4 forward row(s); quote_verifiedMPC’s 2026 capital spending outlook (excluding MPLX) is $1.5 billion
- Operating Cash Flow Trends · Cash flow generationPriority 66+9.4% cash (realized); quote_verifiedNet cash provided by operating activities increased $8.87 billion in the first six months of 2026 compared to the first six months of 2025.
- Guidance / Outlook · Guidance & outlookPriority 65-4.2% operating_income; 8 forward row(s); quote_verifiedThird-Quarter 2026 outlook: Distribution costs: $1,650 million
- Net Income and Profitability · Operating income & profitabilityPriority 65+20.6% net_income (realized); quote_verifiedSecond-quarter adjusted EBITDA: $8.5 billion
- MPLX Natural Gas Expansion · Capacity & footprint expansionPriority 612 sources (news, press_release); 17 forward row(s); quote_verifiedMPLX increased its growth capital outlook to $2.9 billion to support expected annual distribution growth of 12.5% in 2026 and 2027.
- Middle East Supply Disruptions · Geopolitics & conflictPriority 592 sources (news, sec_filing); 1 forward row(s); quote_verifiedManagement said the company expects tight refining markets and elevated spreads to persist through 2027, supported by ongoing geopolitical conflicts and refinery outages.
- Income Tax Rate Changes · TaxPriority 57-4.8% net_income (realized); 2 sources (press_release, sec_filing); structured_verifiedProvision for income taxes was $1,627 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and $305 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025.
- Capital Return Program · Buybacks & dividendsPriority 55-0.6% cash; 3 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); 1 forward row(s); structured_verifiedAs of June 30, 2026, the company had $6.1 billion remaining under its share repurchase authorizations
- End-Market Demand Trends · Demand, orders & backlogPriority 552 sources (press_release, sec_filing); quote_verifiedFor the six months ended June 30, 2026, Renewable Diesel segment revenues increased $573 million while renewable diesel sales volume decreased 44 thousand gallons per day largely due to planned turnaround activity at the Martinez Renewables JV in Q1 2026.
Threads by pillar
Revenue & Demand Priority 85 · 3 threads
- Revenue Performance and MixPriority 80 · News, Release, Filing
- End-Market Demand TrendsPriority 55 · Release, Filing
- Products and TechnologyPriority 31 · Release
Costs & Margins Priority 78 · 4 threads
- Operating Expense TrendsPriority 70 · Filing
- Net Income and ProfitabilityPriority 65 · Release
- Manufacturing And CapacityPriority 44 · News, Release, Filing
- Supply Chain and Inventory TrendsPriority 31 · Filing
Capital & Balance Sheet Priority 89 · 7 threads
- Capital ExpendituresPriority 67 · News, Release, Filing
- Operating Cash Flow TrendsPriority 66 · Filing
- Liquidity and Debt PositionPriority 52 · Release
- Outstanding IndebtednessPriority 50 · Filing
- Income Tax Rate ChangesPriority 57 · Release, Filing
- Capital Return ProgramPriority 55 · News, Release, Filing
- Liquidity and Cash PositionPriority 51 · Filing
Strategy & Portfolio Priority 63 · 2 threads
- MPLX Natural Gas ExpansionPriority 61 · News, Release
- Midstream Segment PerformancePriority 28 · Release
Legal, Regulatory & Policy Priority 48 · 1 thread
- Renewable Fuel Compliance CostsPriority 48 · Filing
Guidance & Outlook Priority 65 · 1 thread
- Guidance / OutlookPriority 65 · Release
Macro & Market Conditions Priority 86 · 3 threads
- Refining Margin TrendsPriority 81 · News, Release, Filing
- Crude Sourcing OptimizationPriority 23 · News
- Middle East Supply DisruptionsPriority 59 · News, Filing
Management & Governance Priority 43 · 1 thread
- Renewable Diesel MarginPriority 43 · Release, Filing
Unclassified Priority 62 · 5 threads
- Strategic Petroleum Reserve ExchangePriority 46 · Filing
- Midstream Throughput GrowthPriority 41 · Release, Filing
- Clean Fuel Tax CreditsPriority 33 · Filing
- Renewable Diesel ProfitabilityPriority 30 · News
- Refinery Investment ProjectsPriority 29 · News
Expected impact by metric
| metric | forward net | forward gross | realized |
|---|---|---|---|
| operating_income | -4.2% | +4.2% | +37.6% |
| cash | -0.6% | +0.7% | +9.3% |
| net_income | -0.6% | +0.6% | +32.0% |
| margin | — | — | +36.0% |
| revenue | — | — | +35.1% |