NVDA · Full Picture
NVIDIA CORP — the full picture
Earnings window · 2026-05-20 to 2026-11-09 · anchored on the 10-Q report
One earnings window, everything merged: the filing, the call, press releases and news digests, folded into ranked threads.
What to look at first
- Gross Margin Drivers · Gross marginPriority 103+24.2% margin (realized); 4 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing, transcript); 4 forward row(s); quote_verifiedQ2 2027 GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins expected: 74.9% and 75% respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.
- Revenue Performance and Mix · Revenue growth & mixPriority 94-61.6% cash; 4 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing, transcript); 10 forward row(s); quote_verifiedNVIDIA's Q1 revenue was $81.6B, up 85% year-over-year; Data Center revenue was up 92%; gross margins held near 75%; management guides for $91B Q2 revenue excluding China Data Center compute and expects stable margins through the next chip transition.
- Capital Return Program · Buybacks & dividendsPriority 91-54.7% cash; 4 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing, transcript); 5 forward row(s); structured_verifiedAn article noted a 25x quarterly dividend jump from $0.01 to $0.25 paired with a fresh $80 billion buyback authorization on top of roughly $39 billion still remaining.
- Datacenter Demand and Networking Ramp · Demand, orders & backlogPriority 91+115.8% revenue; 4 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing, transcript); 3 forward row(s); quote_verifiedData center computing revenue: $60 billion, up 77% year over year.
- Share Repurchase Program · Buybacks & dividendsPriority 91-101.2% cash; 2 sources (news, sec_filing); 3 forward row(s); structured_verifiedNVIDIA authorized a $150 billion share-repurchase program.
- AI Infrastructure Financing · Strategic & business-model shiftsPriority 90-43.2% liability; 3 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); 11 forward row(s); quote_verifiedNVIDIA CORP reduced its funding guarantee for a proposed OpenAI data center in Ohio to less than $120 billion, down from an initial $250 billion, according to the Wall Street Journal.
- Supply Commitments and Inventory · Supply chain & operationsPriority 89-42.5% liability; 3 sources (news, sec_filing, transcript); 2 forward row(s); quote_verifiedManagement increased total supply including inventory purchase commitments on prepaids to $145 billion to secure sufficient supply.
- Market Demand Trends · Demand, orders & backlogPriority 81+17.4% revenue (realized); 3 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); quote_verifiedNvidia's revenue in the second quarter rose 85% year over year to $81.6 billion.
- Income Tax Rate Changes · TaxPriority 79-10.4% net_income (realized); 3 sources (press_release, sec_filing, transcript); 2 forward row(s); structured_verifiedIncome tax expense for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027: $11.6 billion, and for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026: $3.1 billion.
- Operating Cash Flow Trends · Cash flow generationPriority 79-2.0% cash; 3 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); 1 forward row(s); quote_verifiedNet cash provided by operating activities for the three months ended Apr 26, 2026: $50,344 million, compared to $27,414 million for the three months ended Apr 27, 2025.
- AI Infrastructure Commitments · Strategic & business-model shiftsPriority 78-27.9% liability; 2 sources (news, sec_filing); 2 forward row(s); quote_verifiedNVIDIA entered into guarantees with SB Energy Corp. in August 2026 to provide credit support for land, power, and shell buildout at SB Energy's PORTS Technology Campus covering leases for approximately 4.25 gigawatts of IT load, with NVIDIA's obligation capped at $105 billion in the aggregate.
- Supply Chain Constraints · Supply chain & operationsPriority 783 sources (news, sec_filing, transcript); 5 forward row(s); quote_verifiedManagement stated they expect to be supply-constrained throughout the life of VeraRubin.
Threads by pillar
Revenue & Demand Priority 99 · 19 threads
- Datacenter Demand and Networking RampPriority 91 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Market Demand TrendsPriority 81 · News, Release, Filing
- Large Customer GPU OrdersPriority 77 · News
- Customer Demand DiversificationPriority 65 · News, Release
- Vera Rubin Infrastructure DemandPriority 52 · News
- Revenue Performance and MixPriority 94 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Datacenter Revenue GrowthPriority 60 · News
- Revenue Concentration RiskPriority 64 · News, Release, Filing
- Customer Dynamics — SpaceXPriority 61 · News, Release
- Customer Concentration and ChannelsPriority 55 · News, Filing
- Apple AI Customer WinPriority 24 · News
- Distribution ChannelsPriority 13 · News
- Product Launch and TransitionPriority 71 · News, Filing, Call
- Products and Technology ExpansionPriority 46 · News, Release
- Geographic Revenue ShiftPriority 67 · News, Filing
- Geographic Market CommentaryPriority 35 · Call
- Anthropic Cloud Infrastructure DealPriority 50 · News
- Pricing and Market EconomicsPriority 35 · Call
- GPU Cloud Pricing and DemandPriority 27 · News
Costs & Margins Priority 100 · 8 threads
- Gross Margin DriversPriority 103 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Supply Commitments and InventoryPriority 89 · News, Filing, Call
- Supply Chain ConstraintsPriority 78 · News, Filing, Call
- Datacenter Demand — Supplier SalesPriority 59 · News
- H20 Inventory ChargePriority 49 · Filing
- Manufacturing and Capacity RampPriority 35 · News, Call
- Operating Income and MarginsPriority 65 · News, Release
- Operating Expense TrendsPriority 62 · Release, Filing, Call
Capital & Balance Sheet Priority 99 · 18 threads
- Capital Return ProgramPriority 91 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Share Repurchase ProgramPriority 91 · News, Filing
- Shareholder ReturnsPriority 73 · News
- Dividend DeclarationPriority 65 · News
- Dividend Increase CorrectionPriority 39 · News, Call
- Operating Cash Flow TrendsPriority 79 · News, Release, Filing
- Income Tax Rate ChangesPriority 79 · Release, Filing, Call
- Outstanding IndebtednessPriority 73 · Release, Filing
- NVIDIA $25B Debt OfferingPriority 65 · News
- Corporate Bond OfferingPriority 57 · News
- Strategic Investment PortfolioPriority 68 · News
- Marketable Securities ValuationPriority 67 · Release, Filing
- Non-marketable and Public Equity InvestmentsPriority 41 · News, Release
- Liquidity and Cash PositionPriority 73 · Release, Filing
- Balance Sheet and LiquidityPriority 70 · News, Release
- OpenAI Data Center GuaranteePriority 65 · News
- Capital Expenditure ProgramPriority 39 · News, Release
- Hyperscaler CapEx OutlookPriority 36 · Call
Strategy & Portfolio Priority 97 · 19 threads
- AI Infrastructure FinancingPriority 90 · News, Release, Filing
- AI Infrastructure CommitmentsPriority 78 · News, Filing
- Datacenter Networking StrategyPriority 51 · News
- Australia AI Infrastructure ExpansionPriority 34 · News, Release
- Sovereign AI Infrastructure EuropePriority 28 · News
- Groq Licensing AgreementPriority 67 · News
- OpenAI Infrastructure PartnershipPriority 55 · News, Release
- Partner Ecosystem ExpansionPriority 48 · News, Release, Call
- SpaceX Compute PartnershipPriority 44 · News
- Safe Superintelligence PartnershipPriority 38 · News
- Optical Connectivity Capacity ExpansionPriority 60 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Physical AI Ecosystem ExpansionPriority 50 · News, Release
- AI Factory Platform ExpansionPriority 45 · News
- CPU Market ExpansionPriority 38 · News
- Domestic Manufacturing InvestmentPriority 35 · News
- Acquisition / Partnership / DivestiturePriority 69 · News
- Hugging Face AcquisitionPriority 52 · News
- Open-Source AI Acquisition RumorPriority 38 · News
- Kumo AI AcquisitionPriority 23 · News
Legal, Regulatory & Policy Priority 78 · 8 threads
- China Access Risk / Export ControlsPriority 73 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Groq Licensing InvestigationPriority 47 · News
- AI Data Center Regulatory RiskPriority 39 · News
- Poolside Licensing and InvestmentPriority 31 · News
- Open-Weight AI Regulatory DebatePriority 26 · News
- AI Training Copyright LawsuitPriority 40 · News
- HBM Patent Import LitigationPriority 26 · News
- Trade Policy and TariffsPriority 13 · Filing
Guidance & Outlook Priority 73 · 3 threads
- Guidance and OutlookPriority 70 · News, Release, Call
- CPU Revenue ForecastPriority 50 · News
- Data Center Securitization GuidancePriority 24 · News
Macro & Market Conditions Priority 80 · 9 threads
- Competition and Custom AI ChipsPriority 58 · News
- Competition and Market SharePriority 53 · News, Call
- Competition from New EntrantsPriority 39 · News
- China Market Loss to Domestic CompetitorsPriority 38 · News
- China AI Accelerator CompetitionPriority 33 · News
- HBM Memory Price InflationPriority 32 · News
- Macroeconomic Factors ImpactPriority 19 · Filing
- Interest Rate and Inflation ConcernsPriority 29 · News
- FX / Currency HeadwindsPriority 20 · Filing
Management & Governance Priority 28 · 1 thread
- ESG — Data Center Water UsePriority 28 · News
Shareholders & Street Priority 70 · 2 threads
- Institutional Ownership ChangesPriority 69 · News
- Insider Selling ActivityPriority 23 · News
Unclassified Priority 100 · 5 threads
- Vera CPU TAM and VisibilityPriority 77 · News, Call
- OpenAI Data Center FinancingPriority 76 · News
- Other Income (Investment Gains)Priority 74 · Release, Filing
- Reportable Segment PerformancePriority 74 · Filing
- HBM / Memory Supply TightnessPriority 72 · News
Expected impact by metric
| metric | forward net | forward gross | realized |
|---|---|---|---|
| cash | -343.4% | +400.2% | -17.4% |
| liability | -383.0% | +383.0% | -26.6% |
| revenue | +209.9% | +209.9% | +122.0% |
| assets | +46.9% | +46.9% | +78.0% |
| operating_income | -0.5% | +0.5% | +113.0% |
| margin | — | — | +24.2% |
| net_income | — | — | +69.5% |