WM · Full Picture
WASTE MANAGEMENT INC — the full picture
Earnings window · 2026-07-29 to 2026-11-09 · anchored on the 10-Q report
One earnings window, everything merged: the filing, the call, press releases and news digests, folded into ranked threads.
What to look at first
- Capital Expenditure Program · Capital expenditurePriority 76-5.0% cash; 2 sources (sec_filing, transcript); 2 forward row(s); quote_verifiedWM expected 2026 capital spending to be within guidance but toward the higher end, at about $2.75 billion.
- Revenue Performance and Mix · Revenue growth & mixPriority 72+1.3% revenue; 4 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing, transcript); 3 forward row(s); structured_verifiedThe consensus estimate for total collection and disposal segment revenues is set at $5.5 billion, indicating a 4% increase from the year-ago quarter's actual.
- Guidance / Outlook · Guidance & outlookPriority 67+2.7% revenue; 3 sources (news, press_release, transcript); 7 forward row(s); quote_verifiedWaste Management lowered its 2026 revenue outlook to a range of USD 26.28 billion to USD 26.48 billion.
- Free Cash Flow · Cash flow generationPriority 63+3.6% cash (realized); 4 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing, transcript); 1 forward row(s); structured_verifiedFree cash flow rose 34.5 percent to USD 1.104 billion in Q2 2026.
- Capital Return Program · Buybacks & dividendsPriority 57-0.8% cash; 2 sources (press_release, transcript); 1 forward row(s); quote_verifiedWM repurchased $1.58 billion of its shares in the first nine months of 2026 and continued to expect to repurchase a total of $2 billion of shares in 2026.
- Tax Legislation · UnclassifiedPriority 56+2.3% net_income; 4 forward row(s); structured_verifiedWASTE MANAGEMENT expects its cumulative benefit from the Section 48 investment tax credit to be between $400 million and $425 million, $309 million of which was recognized between 2023 and 2025 with the remainder anticipated to be realized in 2026 and 2027.
- Operating Expense Trends · Operating expenses (SG&A)Priority 55-4.3% operating_income (realized); 3 sources (press_release, sec_filing, transcript); quote_verifiedQ3 2026 operating expenses were $4,093 million, or 59.8% of revenues, compared with $3,798 million, or 58.9%, in Q3 2025, an increase of $295 million.
- Market Demand Trends · Demand, orders & backlogPriority 543 sources (news, press_release, sec_filing); quote_verifiedCalifornia State Teachers Retirement System raised its holdings in Waste Management by 26,113.1% during the second quarter and owned 121,870,338 shares after purchasing an additional 121,405,416 shares.
- Operating Margin Drivers · UnclassifiedPriority 53+4.2% operating_income (realized); 2 sources (sec_filing, transcript); structured_verifiedQ3 2026 income from operations was $1,279 million, or 18.7% of revenues, compared with $989 million, or 15.3%, in Q3 2025, an increase of $290 million.
- Capital Allocation · Buybacks & dividendsPriority 52quote_verifiedWaste Management's stock closed at $236.60 on a Wednesday, down 1.17%, and was 4.65% below its 52-week high.
- Debt and Liquidity Position · Debt, leverage & refinancingPriority 52+0.7% liability; 2 sources (sec_filing, transcript); 3 forward row(s); structured_verifiedForecasted available capacity under our long-term U.S. and Canadian revolving credit facility was $3.5 billion.
- Diesel Price and Fuel Surcharges · UnclassifiedPriority 512 sources (sec_filing, transcript); quote_verifiedWaste Management said it was assuming Q4 diesel prices about 40% above Q4 of the prior year, at a little over $5.50 per gallon.
Threads by pillar
Revenue & Demand Priority 85 · 6 threads
- Revenue Performance and MixPriority 72 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Market Demand TrendsPriority 54 · News, Release, Filing
- Revenue and Volume TrendsPriority 39 · News, Call
- Products and TechnologyPriority 40 · News, Filing
- Customer DynamicsPriority 39 · News, Filing, Call
- Recycling Commodity PricingPriority 33 · Release, Filing
Costs & Margins Priority 71 · 6 threads
- Operating Expense TrendsPriority 55 · Release, Filing, Call
- Segment ProfitabilityPriority 43 · News, Filing, Call
- Operating Margin DriversPriority 40 · News, Release, Filing
- Adjusted EBITDA PerformancePriority 25 · News
- Impairment ChargesPriority 34 · Filing
- Manufacturing And CapacityPriority 31 · Release, Filing
Capital & Balance Sheet Priority 90 · 9 threads
- Capital Expenditure ProgramPriority 76 · Filing, Call
- Capital Return ProgramPriority 57 · Release, Call
- Capital AllocationPriority 52 · News
- Stock Repurchase ProgramPriority 51 · Filing
- Quarterly Dividend DeclarationPriority 42 · News, Filing
- Free Cash FlowPriority 63 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Debt and Liquidity PositionPriority 52 · Filing, Call
- Income Tax Rate ChangesPriority 37 · Filing
- Balance Sheet and LiquidityPriority 11 · News
Strategy & Portfolio Priority 52 · 2 threads
- Strategic InitiativesPriority 44 · News, Release, Filing, Call
- Acquisitions and DivestituresPriority 39 · Filing, Call
Legal, Regulatory & Policy Priority 34 · 2 threads
- Regulatory RiskPriority 32 · News, Call
- Litigation and Legal RiskPriority 20 · News
Guidance & Outlook Priority 69 · 2 threads
- Guidance / OutlookPriority 67 · News, Release, Call
- 2026 Revenue GuidancePriority 43 · News
Macro & Market Conditions Priority 55 · 6 threads
- Competition and Market PositionPriority 33 · News, Filing
- Competition and Pricing PressurePriority 27 · Filing, Call
- Inflationary Cost PressuresPriority 32 · Filing
- Macroeconomic Factors ImpactPriority 23 · Call
- Commodity Price PressurePriority 23 · Filing
- SeasonalityPriority 23 · Filing
Management & Governance Priority 42 · 3 threads
- Renewable Energy OutlookPriority 33 · News, Call
- ESG and SustainabilityPriority 20 · Filing
- Leadership TransitionPriority 37 · News, Release
Unclassified Priority 81 · 5 threads
- Tax LegislationPriority 56 · Filing
- Operating Margin DriversPriority 53 · Filing, Call
- Diesel Price and Fuel SurchargesPriority 51 · Filing, Call
- Quarterly Earnings PerformancePriority 48 · News
- Pricing and Input CostsPriority 43 · Release, Call
Expected impact by metric
| metric | forward net | forward gross | realized |
|---|---|---|---|
| cash | -4.9% | +8.2% | -7.3% |
| revenue | +4.0% | +4.0% | +5.9% |
| net_income | +2.3% | +2.3% | +4.0% |
| liability | +0.7% | +0.7% | -0.3% |
| operating_income | — | — | +1.5% |
| margin | — | — | +2.5% |