CME · News · 20260914N

Interest Rate Environment

CME GROUP INC. · 2026-09-14 · Importance 17 · Surprise 24

Markets reportedly assigned more than a 90% probability to a first Federal Reserve rate hike since 2023. The outlook reflects surging oil prices, persistent inflation and resilient labor-market conditions. The potential rate increase could affect stock and bond markets and increase demand for interest-rate and other macro hedging products traded on CME Group.