C · News · 20260914N

Interest Rate Environment

CITIGROUP INC · 2026-09-14 · Importance 17 · Surprise 24 · In source text

Citigroup now expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates later in 2026 and into early 2027, reversing its previous unchanged-rate view. The forecast reflects persistent UK inflation, higher wholesale energy prices, and stronger-than-expected economic growth. Markets are pricing approximately 47 basis points of BoE rate hikes by year-end, followed by potential rate cuts by late 2027.

Key facts

Impact estimates

metricdirectionstageexpectedbasis
revenuepositivecontingent—Citigroup now anticipates Bank of England rate hikes later this year and into early 2027.