FSLR · 8-K · 20261029PR000211
Guidance and Outlook
FIRST SOLAR, INC. · 2026-10-29 · Importance 63 · Surprise 60 · No source text
First Solar lowered its 2026 net sales guidance to $4.6 billion–$4.9 billion from $4.9 billion–$5.2 billion and volume-sold guidance to 16.0–17.0 GW from 17.0–18.2 GW. Adjusted EBITDA guidance decreased to $2.55 billion–$2.75 billion from $2.6 billion–$2.8 billion, while gross profit guidance of $2.4 billion–$2.6 billion and operating expense guidance of $610 million–$635 million were unchanged. Capital expenditure guidance was reduced to $600 million–$800 million from $800 million–$1.0 billion. The company forecast fourth-quarter module sales of 4.3–5.3 GW, including 3.4–4.3 GW from U.S. manufacturing operations, and Adjusted EBITDA of $643 million–$843 million.
Key facts
- First Solar lowered its 2026 net sales guidance from $4.9–$5.2 billion to $4.6–$4.9 billion. source
- First Solar lowered its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance from $2.6–$2.8 billion to $2.55–$2.75 billion. source
- First Solar lowered its 2026 capital expenditures guidance from $0.8–$1.0 billion to $0.6–$0.8 billion. source
- First Solar lowered its 2026 volume sold guidance from 17.0–18.2 GW to 16.0–17.0 GW. source
- First Solar's 2026 gross profit guidance assumes $2.07–$2.19 billion of Section 45X tax credits and $110–$120 million of underutilization costs. source
- First Solar's 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance reflects approximately $201 million of addbacks for share-based compensation, Section 45X tax credit discounts, underutilization, and production start-up expenses. source
- First Solar forecast Q4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $643–$843 million. source
- First Solar's 2026 operating expenses guidance assumes $80–$90 million of production start-up expense. source
Impact estimates
| metric | direction | stage | expected | basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| operating_income | positive | committed | +147.1% | First Solar's 2026 gross profit guidance assumes $2.07–$2.19 billion of Section 45X tax credits and $110–$120 million of underutilization… |
| revenue | negative | committed | -20.7% | First Solar lowered its 2026 net sales guidance from $4.9–$5.2 billion to $4.6–$4.9 billion. |
| operating_income | negative | committed | -7.9% | First Solar's 2026 gross profit guidance assumes $2.07–$2.19 billion of Section 45X tax credits and $110–$120 million of underutilization… |
| operating_income | negative | committed | -5.9% | First Solar's 2026 operating expenses guidance assumes $80–$90 million of production start-up expense. |
| operating_income | negative | committed | -3.5% | First Solar lowered its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance from $2.6–$2.8 billion to $2.55–$2.75 billion. |
| cash | positive | committed | — | First Solar lowered its 2026 capital expenditures guidance from $0.8–$1.0 billion to $0.6–$0.8 billion. |
| operating_income | unclear | committed | — | First Solar forecast Q4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $643–$843 million. |