UNP · 8-K · 20261022PR000319

Guidance / Outlook

UNION PACIFIC CORP · 2026-10-22 · Importance 51 · Surprise 60 · No source text

Union Pacific affirmed its expectation for high-single-digit reported EPS growth in 2026 and through the 2027 three-year CAGR period. Management reaffirmed pricing dollars above inflation dollars and an industry-leading operating ratio and return on invested capital. The company updated its outlook to reflect core-business operating-ratio improvement while noting that high fuel prices will challenge the reported operating ratio. The 2026 capital plan was updated to $3.5 billion.

Key facts

Impact estimates

metricdirectionstageexpectedbasis
net_incomepositiveprobable—Union Pacific affirmed reported earnings per share growth of high-single digit consistent with attaining a 3-year CAGR target of…
revenuepositiveprobable—Union Pacific affirmed pricing dollars in excess of inflation dollars.
cashpositiveprobable—Union Pacific affirmed continued strong cash generation and consistent annual dividend increases.
cashnegativeprobable—Union Pacific affirmed continued strong cash generation and consistent annual dividend increases.