UNP · 8-K · 20261022PR000319

Guidance and Outlook

UNION PACIFIC CORP · 2026-10-22 · Importance 51 · Surprise 60 · In source text

Union Pacific affirmed its 2026 outlook while describing the economic forecast as mixed and customer demand as increased. Management continues to target reported earnings-per-share growth in the high-single digits, consistent with a high-single- to low-double-digit three-year compound annual growth target through 2027. The company expects pricing dollars to exceed inflation dollars, continued strong cash generation, and annual dividend increases, while core-business operating-ratio improvement may be offset by high fuel prices.

Key facts

Impact estimates

metricdirectionstageexpectedbasis
marginmixedprobable—Union Pacific updated that operating ratio improvement from core business is expected but reported operating ratio is challenged by high…