MAA · 8-K · 20260804PR332847
Guidance and Outlook
MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC. · 2026-08-04 · Importance 56 · Surprise 68 · No source text
Management expects 2026 full-year effective rent growth of negative 0.15% to positive 0.35%, property revenue growth of negative 0.20% to positive 0.40%, and same-store NOI growth of negative 1.70% to negative 0.10%, with a midpoint of negative 0.90%. Average physical occupancy is expected to remain between 95.35% and 95.65%, with steady occupancy for the full year. Full-year 2026 Core FFO per diluted share guidance is $8.41–$8.65, while development funding is expected at $300 million–$400 million and capital spending includes $45 million–$55 million for unit redevelopment.
Key facts
- 2026 FULL YEAR GUIDANCE midpoint corporate overhead: Asset Management / Tech / Regional Support + G&A totaling $136M (range $134M … $136M … $138M) source
- 2026 FULL YEAR GUIDANCE midpoint: Core FFO/Share $8.53 (range $8.41 … $8.53 … $8.65) source
- 2026 Q3 Core FFO/Share guidance range: $2.04 … $2.10 … $2.16 (midpoint $2.10) source
- 2026 Full year Core FFO per diluted share guidance corresponds to GAAP earnings per diluted common share guidance range $3.96 to $4.20 (earnings) and FFO per share midpoints implied source
- 2026 SAME STORE forecast midpoint: Effective Rent Growth 0.10%, Property Revenue Growth 0.10%, Property Expense Growth 1.75%, Real Estate Tax Growth 1.75%, Property NOI Growth -0.90%, Average Physical Occupancy midpoint 95.50% source
- Expect 3Q 2026 Occupancy to outperform 2Q 2026 Occupancy and expect 4Q 2026 blended pricing to outperform 1Q 2026 blended pricing source
- Expect FY 2026 blended pricing to be in the 0.5% range source
Impact estimates
| metric | direction | stage | expected | basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| operating_income | negative | committed | -20.8% | 2026 FULL YEAR GUIDANCE midpoint corporate overhead: Asset Management / Tech / Regional Support + G&A totaling $136M (range $134M … $136M… |
| operating_income | negative | committed | -0.8% | 2026 SAME STORE forecast midpoint: Effective Rent Growth 0.10%, Property Revenue Growth 0.10%, Property Expense Growth 1.75%, Real Estate… |
| revenue | positive | probable | +0.3% | Expect FY 2026 blended pricing to be in the 0.5% range |
| net_income | positive | committed | — | 2026 FULL YEAR GUIDANCE midpoint: Core FFO/Share $8.53 (range $8.41 … $8.53 … $8.65) |
| net_income | positive | committed | — | 2026 Q3 Core FFO/Share guidance range: $2.04 … $2.10 … $2.16 (midpoint $2.10) |
| net_income | positive | committed | — | 2026 Full year Core FFO per diluted share guidance corresponds to GAAP earnings per diluted common share guidance range $3.96 to $4.20… |
| revenue | positive | probable | — | Expect 3Q 2026 Occupancy to outperform 2Q 2026 Occupancy and expect 4Q 2026 blended pricing to outperform 1Q 2026 blended pricing |